Monday, March 05, 2018

Weekly Propagatin Forecast Bulletins



Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Mar 05 0116 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 26 February - 04 March 2018
Solar activity reached low levels on 02 Mar due to an isolated C1 flare from Region 2700 (N06, L=328, class/area=Cro/30 on 26 Feb), which was the only active region with sunspots this period. Solar activity was very low throughout the remainder of the period and no Earth-directed CMEs were observed. No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 26-27 Feb and 03 Mar and moderate levels were observed on 28 Feb and 01-02 Mar. Normal levels were observed on 04 Mar.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active and G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 27 Feb due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS. Generally quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions were
observed throughout the remainder of the period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 05 March - 31 March 2018
Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period. No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 18-25 Mar and moderate levels are expected on 17, and 26-30 Mar. Normal flux levels are expected for the remainder of the outlook period. Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 18, 22 and 26 Mar due to the influences
of multiple recurrent, CH HSSs. Active levels are expected on 15-17 and 21 Mar with generally quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions likely through the remainder of the outlook period.

Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Mar 05 0116 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC web contact www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-03-05
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Mar 05      68           5          2
2018 Mar 06      68           5          2
2018 Mar 07      68           5          2
2018 Mar 08      68           8          3
2018 Mar 09      68           8          3
2018 Mar 10      68           5          2
2018 Mar 11      68           5          2
2018 Mar 12      68           5          2
2018 Mar 13      68           5          2
2018 Mar 14      68          10          3
2018 Mar 15      68          12          4
2018 Mar 16      70          12          4
2018 Mar 17      72          15          4
2018 Mar 18      72          18          5
2018 Mar 19      72           5          2
2018 Mar 20      72           5          2
2018 Mar 21      72          12          4
2018 Mar 22      72          18          5
2018 Mar 23      72          10          3
2018 Mar 24      72           5          2
2018 Mar 25      72           8          3
2018 Mar 26      72          20          5
2018 Mar 27      72           5          2
2018 Mar 28      72           5          2
2018 Mar 29      72           5          2
2018 Mar 30      70           8          3
2018 Mar 31      68           8          3
(NOAA)